Saturday, July 2 /
11:00 - 12:30
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Heymans building room 0320
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Session 78 Improvements in forecasting methods
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Chair: Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher , Danish Center on Population Research, Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark
1.
Lee-Carter Cohort Mortality Forecasts •
Ugofilippo Basellini , Max Planck Institute for demographic Research; Carlo Giovanni Camarda , Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED).
2.
Modelling and Forecasting Healthy Life Expectancy. A Compositional Data Analysis Approach •
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher , Danish Center on Population Research, Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark; Cosmo Strozza , Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics; Violetta Simonacci, University of Naples Federico II; James Oeppen, Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark.
3.
Ex-Post Evaluation of COVID-19 Mortality Forecast Models •
Ricarda Duerst , Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Christina Bohk-Ewald, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
4.
Improving Methods for Fertility Forecasting through the Incorporation of Parity Information •
Joanne Ellison , University of Southampton; Ann M. Berrington, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Erengul Dodd, University of Southampton.
5.
Estimating excess deaths with the later/earlier method: An application to French and Spanish regions during the COVID-19 pandemic •
Ainhoa Elena Leger , Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark; Silvia Rizzi , Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark.
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Data and Methods